David Silenus
Suddenly — or not so — a lot of big corporate mergers & acquisitions are starting NOT to happen …
Don’t worry about the technical and financial DETAILS …
The key is the consistently NEGATIVE emotional tone of the company dynamics …
Major sectors continue to collapse at a dizzying pace …
“A spate of corporate deal remorse has left investors regretful, too … They all help make the case for heightened shareholder skepticism.
[ Big drug company ]’s latest effort to wriggle out of the deal pushed them below where they were trading before the sale.
Verizon, too, is having second thoughts about paying $4.8 billion for Yahoo’s core business …
Likewise, the oil and gas pipeline operator Energy Transfer Equity this summer successfully backed out of its $33 billion deal … on a tax-related technicality — after trying for months to escape.
Even as the Justice Department tries to block Anthem’s $48 billion acquisition of Cigna, the American health insurers are at odds over the merger.
Such ructions can be expected at the peak of a merger frenzy and as the cycle starts to turn DOWN.
In deals of over $1 billion in the United States, the average wait from a deal’s announcement to closing is at its longest in over a decade — 148 days …
The longer the lag, the more likely problems will crop up.
Even astute M.&A. watchers have been caught wrong-footed … … …
Better to be safe than sorry.”
Shareholders should be willing to sell near an offer price rather than wait to see a merger close
Source: Investor’s Remorse Follows Buyer’s Remorse as Big Deals Fall Apart – The New York Times